Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.131511 0.154118 0.179015 0.208409 0.242102 0.279451 0.323923
2026-01-11 0.095181 0.125858 0.163365 0.212303 0.274141 0.349321 0.447244
2026-01-18 0.074380 0.107814 0.152034 0.214152 0.298393 0.407777 0.559506
2026-01-25 0.060184 0.094261 0.142392 0.214247 0.317449 0.458713 0.664688
2026-02-01 0.049227 0.082656 0.132718 0.211569 0.330622 0.501152 0.760602
2026-02-08 0.040752 0.072973 0.123885 0.208071 0.341012 0.539282 0.852467
2026-02-15 0.033232 0.063316 0.113360 0.200013 0.342738 0.563754 0.925178
2026-02-22 0.030556 0.061339 0.114795 0.210962 0.374935 0.636758 1.077102
2026-03-01 0.025693 0.054539 0.106971 0.205174 0.378789 0.664969 1.160426
2026-03-08 0.021464 0.048144 0.098860 0.197635 0.378464 0.685752 1.232623
2026-03-15 0.018334 0.043339 0.092929 0.193130 0.382631 0.713865 1.318511
2026-03-22 0.016527 0.040958 0.091279 0.196330 0.400780 0.767085 1.450712
2026-03-29 0.015225 0.039510 0.091400 0.203180 0.426773 0.836900 1.618518
2026-04-05 0.013820 0.037584 0.090287 0.207459 0.448353 0.900661 1.780742
2026-04-12 0.012397 0.035344 0.088157 0.209318 0.465239 0.956910 1.933176
2026-04-19 0.011036 0.032982 0.085394 0.209415 0.478425 1.006946 2.077279
2026-04-26 0.009679 0.030356 0.081625 0.206792 0.485613 1.045789 2.202672
2026-05-03 0.008460 0.027843 0.077735 0.203366 0.490642 1.080562 2.322354
2026-05-10 0.007177 0.024869 0.072243 0.195474 0.485073 1.093434 2.399601
2026-05-17 0.006931 0.024913 0.074426 0.206198 0.521850 1.195512 2.661848
2026-05-24 0.005994 0.022625 0.070155 0.200528 0.520785 1.218590 2.764907
2026-05-31 0.005118 0.020320 0.065457 0.193145 0.514916 1.230850 2.846171
2026-06-07 0.004462 0.018590 0.062082 0.188732 0.515593 1.257146 2.958422